Super League 1 · Matchweek 15
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
AEK Athens
AEK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Aris Thessaloniki28%
Draw24%
AEK Athens48%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.83
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–18.1%
- 2–16.8%
- 0–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AEK Athens will have the ball; Aris Thessaloniki will not mind.
45%Possession63%
34%Territory37%
27%From set plays21%
0.08Chance quality0.12
6.3%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Aris Thessaloniki, 3 for AEK Athens. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Aris Thessaloniki
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.