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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Super League 1 · Matchweek 14

PAOK Thessaloniki

PAO

Panathinaikos

PAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

PAOK Thessaloniki35%
Draw26%
Panathinaikos40%

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.59

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–28.6%
  • 2–17.9%
  • 0–17.8%
  • 1–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Panathinaikos will have the ball; PAOK Thessaloniki will not mind.

43%Possession65%
38%Territory52%
4%From set plays13%
0.17Chance quality0.11
5.7%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PAOK Thessaloniki, 4 for Panathinaikos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.