Super League 1 · Matchweek 14
Levadiakos
LEV
Asteras Tripolis
AST
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Levadiakos54%
Draw27%
Asteras Tripolis19%
Expected goals
1.55 – 0.83
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
45%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.8%
- 1–111.9%
- 2–010.8%
- 0–010.2%
- 2–19.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession46%
42%Territory33%
28%From set plays26%
0.12Chance quality0.11
8.3%Directness7.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Levadiakos, 3 for Asteras Tripolis. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Asteras Tripolis
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 18 of 60 matches, not the full season.