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Super League 1 · Matchweek 14

Kifisia FC

KIF

OFI Crete

OFI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kifisia FC43%
Draw26%
OFI Crete31%

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.33

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.7%
  • 1–09.1%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–17.5%
  • 1–27.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

53%Possession56%
38%Territory35%
13%From set plays18%
0.09Chance quality0.16
6.4%Directness6.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kifisia FC, 3 for OFI Crete. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 18 of 61 matches, not the full season.