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Super League 1 · Matchweek 14

Kifisia FC

KIF

OFI Crete

OFI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kifisia FC38%
Draw29%
OFI Crete34%

Expected goals

1.32 – 1.23

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.8%
  • 1010.6%
  • 019.8%
  • 009.0%
  • 218.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

45%Possession49%
37%Territory31%
14%From set plays23%
0.08Chance quality0.12
6.9%Directness6.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Kifisia FC, 3 for OFI Crete. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.