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Super League 1 · Matchweek 14

Kalamata

KAL

Panetolikos

PAE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kalamata53%
Draw24%
Panetolikos24%

Expected goals

1.88 – 1.22

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.5%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–09.0%
  • 2–07.8%
  • 1–26.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

35%Possession43%
28%Territory34%
23%From set plays28%
0.10Chance quality0.07
5.2%Directness8.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Kalamata, 3 for Panetolikos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 18 of 61 matches, not the full season.