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Super League 1 · Matchweek 14

Kalamata

KAL

Panetolikos

PAE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kalamata42%
Draw26%
Panetolikos32%

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.37

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.5%
  • 218.9%
  • 108.7%
  • 127.6%
  • 017.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Kalamata will have the ball; Panetolikos will not mind.

48%Possession39%
38%Territory38%
36%From set plays23%
0.10Chance quality0.10
5.0%Directness9.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kalamata, 3 for Panetolikos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.