Super League 1 · Matchweek 14
Iraklis
IRA
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Iraklis47%
Draw25%
Aris Thessaloniki28%
Expected goals
1.69 – 1.27
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.4%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–07.1%
- 1–26.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Iraklis get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
44%Possession45%
30%Territory34%
48%From set plays27%
0.10Chance quality0.08
7.7%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Iraklis, 3 for Aris Thessaloniki. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Iraklis
Aris Thessaloniki
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.