Super League 1 · Matchweek 14
Iraklis
IRA
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Iraklis37%
Draw28%
Aris Thessaloniki35%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.28
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.7%
- 1–010.1%
- 0–19.7%
- 0–08.6%
- 2–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Aris Thessaloniki will have the ball; Iraklis will not mind.
41%Possession58%
31%Territory37%
23%From set plays25%
0.07Chance quality0.08
8.4%Directness8.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Iraklis, 3 for Aris Thessaloniki. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.