Super League 1 · Matchweek 14
AEK Athens
AEK
NFC Volos
NFC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AEK Athens58%
Draw23%
NFC Volos19%
Expected goals
1.92 – 1.07
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–110.0%
- 2–09.2%
- 3–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AEK Athens will have the ball; NFC Volos will not mind.
63%Possession50%
37%Territory38%
21%From set plays19%
0.12Chance quality0.08
4.7%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AEK Athens, 3 for NFC Volos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.