Super League 1 · Matchweek 14
AEK Athens
AEK
NFC Volos
NFC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AEK Athens73%
Draw18%
NFC Volos9%
Expected goals
2.19 – 0.67
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
-1.50
Most likely scorelines
- 2–013.8%
- 1–013.1%
- 3–09.7%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–18.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession35%
34%Territory28%
19%From set plays51%
0.11Chance quality0.06
5.8%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for AEK Athens, 3 for NFC Volos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
NFC Volos
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.