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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Super League 1 · Matchweek 13

PAOK Thessaloniki

PAO

NFC Volos

NFC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

PAOK Thessaloniki51%
Draw24%
NFC Volos24%

Expected goals

1.79 – 1.20

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.9%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–09.6%
  • 2–07.9%
  • 1–26.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

43%Possession50%
38%Territory38%
4%From set plays19%
0.17Chance quality0.08
5.7%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PAOK Thessaloniki, 3 for NFC Volos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.