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Super League 1 · Matchweek 13

Panetolikos

PAE

Atromitos

ATR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Panetolikos24%
Draw26%
Atromitos50%

Expected goals

1.06 – 1.61

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.9%
  • 0–111.7%
  • 1–29.6%
  • 0–28.6%
  • 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

43%Possession51%
34%Territory35%
28%From set plays12%
0.07Chance quality0.13
8.3%Directness3.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Panetolikos, 2 for Atromitos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Panetolikos

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.