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Super League 1 · Matchweek 13

Panetolikos

PAE

Atromitos

ATR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Panetolikos44%
Draw27%
Atromitos30%

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.24

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.0%
  • 1010.1%
  • 219.1%
  • 017.9%
  • 007.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Atromitos will have the ball; Panetolikos will not mind.

39%Possession48%
38%Territory37%
23%From set plays15%
0.10Chance quality0.09
9.4%Directness4.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Panetolikos, 3 for Atromitos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.