Super League 1 · Matchweek 13
Panathinaikos
PAN
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Panathinaikos63%
Draw20%
Aris Thessaloniki17%
Expected goals
2.21 – 1.09
Over 2.5
63%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.1%
- 1–18.9%
- 1–08.7%
- 3–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Panathinaikos will have the ball; Aris Thessaloniki will not mind.
65%Possession45%
52%Territory34%
13%From set plays27%
0.11Chance quality0.08
4.5%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Panathinaikos, 3 for Aris Thessaloniki. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Panathinaikos
Aris Thessaloniki
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.