Super League 1 · Matchweek 13
Olympiacos
OLY
AEK Athens
AEK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Olympiacos35%
Draw28%
AEK Athens37%
Expected goals
1.33 – 1.36
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–19.5%
- 1–09.3%
- 1–28.2%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession57%
37%Territory34%
17%From set plays19%
0.10Chance quality0.11
4.6%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Olympiacos, 2 for AEK Athens. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 18 of 60 matches, not the full season.