Super League 1 · Matchweek 13
Olympiacos
OLY
AEK Athens
AEK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Olympiacos38%
Draw27%
AEK Athens35%
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.35
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–09.3%
- 0–18.8%
- 2–18.4%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
59%Possession63%
42%Territory37%
27%From set plays21%
0.10Chance quality0.12
6.8%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Olympiacos, 3 for AEK Athens. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Olympiacos
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.