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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Super League 1 · Matchweek 13

OFI Crete

OFI

Iraklis

IRA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

OFI Crete52%
Draw25%
Iraklis23%

Expected goals

1.78 – 1.13

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.1%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–08.4%
  • 0–06.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

56%Possession40%
35%Territory30%
18%From set plays27%
0.16Chance quality0.08
6.0%Directness7.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for OFI Crete, 2 for Iraklis. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 18 of 61 matches, not the full season.