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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Super League 1 · Matchweek 13

OFI Crete

OFI

Iraklis

IRA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

OFI Crete46%
Draw27%
Iraklis27%

Expected goals

1.52 – 1.14

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.3%
  • 1–011.1%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–18.1%
  • 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Iraklis get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

49%Possession44%
31%Territory30%
23%From set plays48%
0.12Chance quality0.10
6.0%Directness7.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for OFI Crete, 3 for Iraklis. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.