Super League 1 · Matchweek 13
Kalamata
KAL
Levadiakos
LEV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kalamata35%
Draw30%
Levadiakos35%
Expected goals
1.21 – 1.21
Over 2.5
43%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.2%
- 1–011.0%
- 0–110.9%
- 0–010.3%
- 2–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
42%Possession46%
32%Territory42%
17%From set plays28%
0.13Chance quality0.12
5.3%Directness8.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kalamata, 3 for Levadiakos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Kalamata
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.