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Super League 1 · Matchweek 13

Kalamata

KAL

Levadiakos

LEV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kalamata35%
Draw30%
Levadiakos35%

Expected goals

1.21 – 1.21

Over 2.5

43%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.2%
  • 1–011.0%
  • 0–110.9%
  • 0–010.3%
  • 2–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

42%Possession46%
32%Territory42%
17%From set plays28%
0.13Chance quality0.12
5.3%Directness8.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kalamata, 3 for Levadiakos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.