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Super League 1 · Matchweek 13

Kalamata

KAL

Levadiakos

LEV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kalamata48%
Draw26%
Levadiakos26%

Expected goals

1.59 – 1.12

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.9%
  • 1011.1%
  • 219.4%
  • 208.1%
  • 007.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

48%Possession48%
38%Territory35%
36%From set plays39%
0.10Chance quality0.09
5.0%Directness7.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kalamata, 3 for Levadiakos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.