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Super League 1 · Matchweek 13

Asteras Tripolis

AST

Kifisia FC

KIF

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Asteras Tripolis29%
Draw27%
Kifisia FC44%

Expected goals

1.22 – 1.53

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 0–110.3%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 1–08.0%
  • 0–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

46%Possession53%
33%Territory38%
26%From set plays13%
0.11Chance quality0.09
7.8%Directness6.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Asteras Tripolis, 3 for Kifisia FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 18 of 60 matches, not the full season.