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Super League 1 · Matchweek 12

NFC Volos

NFC

Asteras Tripolis

AST

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

NFC Volos40%
Draw29%
Asteras Tripolis30%

Expected goals

1.31 – 1.11

Over 2.5

43%

Both to score

50%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.0%
  • 1–011.9%
  • 0–010.2%
  • 0–110.0%
  • 2–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

31%Possession46%
27%Territory33%
69%From set plays26%
0.05Chance quality0.11
4.1%Directness7.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for NFC Volos, 3 for Asteras Tripolis. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

NFC Volos

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 18 of 60 matches, not the full season.