Super League 1 · Matchweek 12
NFC Volos
NFC
Asteras Tripolis
AST
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
NFC Volos44%
Draw27%
Asteras Tripolis29%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.24
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–010.0%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–17.8%
- 0–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession51%
38%Territory41%
19%From set plays19%
0.08Chance quality0.09
5.6%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for NFC Volos, 3 for Asteras Tripolis. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Asteras Tripolis
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.