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Super League 1 · Matchweek 12

Iraklis

IRA

Panetolikos

PAE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Iraklis39%
Draw27%
Panetolikos34%

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.35

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.1%
  • 109.2%
  • 218.6%
  • 018.5%
  • 127.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Iraklis get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

44%Possession39%
30%Territory38%
48%From set plays23%
0.10Chance quality0.10
7.7%Directness9.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Iraklis, 3 for Panetolikos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.