Super League 1 · Matchweek 12
Iraklis
IRA
Panetolikos
PAE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Iraklis50%
Draw26%
Panetolikos24%
Expected goals
1.68 – 1.12
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–010.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.3%
- 0–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
40%Possession43%
30%Territory34%
27%From set plays28%
0.08Chance quality0.07
7.2%Directness8.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Iraklis, 3 for Panetolikos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Panetolikos
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 18 of 60 matches, not the full season.