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Super League 1 · Matchweek 12

Atromitos

ATR

Panathinaikos

PAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Atromitos24%
Draw28%
Panathinaikos48%

Expected goals

0.97 – 1.46

Over 2.5

43%

Both to score

49%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–113.3%
  • 1–112.5%
  • 0–09.9%
  • 1–29.2%
  • 0–29.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

45%Possession61%
34%Territory51%
15%From set plays27%
0.07Chance quality0.10
2.9%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Atromitos, 3 for Panathinaikos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 18 of 60 matches, not the full season.