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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Super League 1 · Matchweek 12

Aris Thessaloniki

ARI

Olympiacos

OLY

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Aris Thessaloniki31%
Draw26%
Olympiacos43%

Expected goals

1.32 – 1.56

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 1–29.0%
  • 1–07.6%
  • 2–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Olympiacos will have the ball; Aris Thessaloniki will not mind.

45%Possession59%
34%Territory42%
27%From set plays27%
0.08Chance quality0.10
6.3%Directness6.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Aris Thessaloniki, 3 for Olympiacos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.