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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Super League 1 · Matchweek 11

PAOK Thessaloniki

PAO

Kifisia FC

KIF

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

PAOK Thessaloniki50%
Draw25%
Kifisia FC25%

Expected goals

1.77 – 1.23

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.0%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–09.4%
  • 2–07.6%
  • 1–26.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

57%Possession53%
47%Territory38%
29%From set plays17%
0.13Chance quality0.09
5.0%Directness6.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PAOK Thessaloniki, 3 for Kifisia FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 18 of 61 matches, not the full season.