Super League 1 · Matchweek 11
PAOK Thessaloniki
PAO
Kifisia FC
KIF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PAOK Thessaloniki48%
Draw26%
Kifisia FC26%
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.18
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–010.2%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–07.8%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
43%Possession45%
38%Territory37%
4%From set plays14%
0.17Chance quality0.08
5.7%Directness6.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PAOK Thessaloniki, 4 for Kifisia FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
PAOK Thessaloniki
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.