Super League 1 · Matchweek 11
Panathinaikos
PAN
OFI Crete
OFI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Panathinaikos60%
Draw22%
OFI Crete18%
Expected goals
2.01 – 1.06
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–110.0%
- 1–19.9%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–09.3%
- 3–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
61%Possession56%
51%Territory35%
27%From set plays18%
0.10Chance quality0.16
5.7%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Panathinaikos, 3 for OFI Crete. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Panathinaikos
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 18 of 61 matches, not the full season.