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Super League 1 · Matchweek 11

Panathinaikos

PAN

OFI Crete

OFI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Panathinaikos53%
Draw25%
OFI Crete22%

Expected goals

1.77 – 1.09

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.1%
  • 1010.7%
  • 219.8%
  • 208.7%
  • 006.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Panathinaikos will have the ball; OFI Crete will not mind.

65%Possession49%
52%Territory31%
13%From set plays23%
0.11Chance quality0.12
4.5%Directness6.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Panathinaikos, 3 for OFI Crete. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.