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Super League 1 · Matchweek 11

Olympiacos

OLY

Iraklis

IRA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Olympiacos50%
Draw27%
Iraklis24%

Expected goals

1.58 – 1.04

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.0%
  • 1012.0%
  • 219.5%
  • 208.7%
  • 008.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Olympiacos will have the ball; Iraklis will not mind.

59%Possession44%
42%Territory30%
27%From set plays48%
0.10Chance quality0.10
6.8%Directness7.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Olympiacos, 3 for Iraklis. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.