Super League 1 · Matchweek 11
Olympiacos
OLY
Iraklis
IRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Olympiacos62%
Draw22%
Iraklis16%
Expected goals
1.93 – 0.89
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.1%
- 2–011.0%
- 1–110.2%
- 2–19.9%
- 3–06.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession40%
37%Territory30%
17%From set plays27%
0.10Chance quality0.08
4.6%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Olympiacos, 2 for Iraklis. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 18 of 60 matches, not the full season.