Super League 1 · Matchweek 11
Kalamata
KAL
AEK Athens
AEK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kalamata22%
Draw24%
AEK Athens54%
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.86
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–19.7%
- 0–28.3%
- 1–36.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession57%
32%Territory34%
17%From set plays19%
0.13Chance quality0.11
5.3%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kalamata, 2 for AEK Athens. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Kalamata
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 19 of 62 matches, not the full season.