Super League 1 · Matchweek 11
Kalamata
KAL
AEK Athens
AEK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kalamata33%
Draw26%
AEK Athens41%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.58
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–28.8%
- 0–18.5%
- 2–17.7%
- 1–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AEK Athens will have the ball; Kalamata will not mind.
48%Possession63%
38%Territory37%
36%From set plays21%
0.10Chance quality0.12
5.0%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kalamata, 3 for AEK Athens. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.