Super League 1 · Matchweek 11
Asteras Tripolis
AST
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Asteras Tripolis33%
Draw28%
Aris Thessaloniki39%
Expected goals
1.28 – 1.40
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.5%
- 0–110.0%
- 1–09.0%
- 1–28.5%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Aris Thessaloniki will have the ball; Asteras Tripolis will not mind.
46%Possession58%
33%Territory37%
26%From set plays25%
0.11Chance quality0.08
7.8%Directness8.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Asteras Tripolis, 3 for Aris Thessaloniki. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Asteras Tripolis
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 18 of 60 matches, not the full season.