Super League 1 · Matchweek 10
Olympiacos
OLY
PAOK Thessaloniki
PAO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Olympiacos45%
Draw26%
PAOK Thessaloniki29%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.25
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–17.4%
- 1–27.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Olympiacos will have the ball; PAOK Thessaloniki will not mind.
59%Possession43%
42%Territory38%
27%From set plays4%
0.10Chance quality0.17
6.8%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Olympiacos, 3 for PAOK Thessaloniki. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Olympiacos
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.