Super League 1 · Matchweek 10
Olympiacos
OLY
PAOK Thessaloniki
PAO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Olympiacos48%
Draw25%
PAOK Thessaloniki27%
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.26
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 2–19.5%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–07.3%
- 1–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
58%Possession57%
37%Territory47%
16%From set plays29%
0.10Chance quality0.13
4.6%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Olympiacos, 3 for PAOK Thessaloniki. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 18 of 61 matches, not the full season.