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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Super League 1 · Matchweek 10

OFI Crete

OFI

Atromitos

ATR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

OFI Crete43%
Draw28%
Atromitos29%

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.15

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.5%
  • 1–011.2%
  • 2–19.0%
  • 0–18.6%
  • 0–08.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

49%Possession48%
31%Territory37%
23%From set plays15%
0.12Chance quality0.09
6.0%Directness4.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for OFI Crete, 3 for Atromitos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.