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Super League 1 · Matchweek 10

OFI Crete

OFI

Atromitos

ATR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

OFI Crete46%
Draw28%
Atromitos27%

Expected goals

1.49 – 1.10

Over 2.5

47%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–011.6%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–08.6%
  • 0–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

56%Possession45%
35%Territory34%
18%From set plays15%
0.16Chance quality0.07
6.0%Directness2.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for OFI Crete, 1 for Atromitos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 18 of 60 matches, not the full season.