Super League 1 · Matchweek 10
Iraklis
IRA
Panathinaikos
PAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Iraklis20%
Draw25%
Panathinaikos55%
Expected goals
1.00 – 1.75
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 0–111.8%
- 1–111.2%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–29.6%
- 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
40%Possession61%
30%Territory51%
27%From set plays27%
0.08Chance quality0.10
7.2%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Iraklis, 3 for Panathinaikos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 18 of 60 matches, not the full season.