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Super League 1 · Matchweek 10

Iraklis

IRA

Panathinaikos

PAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Iraklis29%
Draw26%
Panathinaikos45%

Expected goals

1.23 – 1.57

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.9%
  • 0110.0%
  • 129.2%
  • 107.6%
  • 027.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Panathinaikos will have the ball; Iraklis will not mind.

44%Possession65%
30%Territory52%
48%From set plays13%
0.10Chance quality0.11
7.7%Directness4.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Iraklis, 4 for Panathinaikos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.