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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Super League 1 · Matchweek 10

Asteras Tripolis

AST

Kalamata

KAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Asteras Tripolis33%
Draw26%
Kalamata41%

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.61

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 0–18.2%
  • 2–17.7%
  • 1–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Asteras Tripolis will have the ball; Kalamata will not mind.

46%Possession36%
33%Territory28%
26%From set plays22%
0.11Chance quality0.13
7.8%Directness6.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Asteras Tripolis, 3 for Kalamata. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 18 of 60 matches, not the full season.