Super League 1 · Matchweek 10
Asteras Tripolis
AST
Kalamata
KAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Asteras Tripolis37%
Draw27%
Kalamata36%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.44
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–08.5%
- 0–18.4%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Kalamata get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
51%Possession48%
41%Territory38%
19%From set plays36%
0.09Chance quality0.10
7.6%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Asteras Tripolis, 3 for Kalamata. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Asteras Tripolis
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.