Super League 1 · Matchweek 10
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
Panetolikos
PAE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Aris Thessaloniki55%
Draw24%
Panetolikos21%
Expected goals
1.79 – 1.05
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.0%
- 1–111.0%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.2%
- 0–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Aris Thessaloniki will have the ball; Panetolikos will not mind.
58%Possession43%
37%Territory34%
25%From set plays28%
0.08Chance quality0.07
8.5%Directness8.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Aris Thessaloniki, 3 for Panetolikos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Aris Thessaloniki
Panetolikos
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 18 of 60 matches, not the full season.