Super League 1 · Matchweek 10
AEK Athens
AEK
Levadiakos
LEV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AEK Athens55%
Draw27%
Levadiakos18%
Expected goals
1.55 – 0.80
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
44%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–015.2%
- 1–111.8%
- 2–011.0%
- 0–010.5%
- 2–19.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
57%Possession46%
34%Territory42%
19%From set plays28%
0.11Chance quality0.12
5.8%Directness8.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for AEK Athens, 3 for Levadiakos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 18 of 60 matches, not the full season.