Super League 1 · Matchweek 9
PAOK Thessaloniki
PAO
Asteras Tripolis
AST
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PAOK Thessaloniki53%
Draw24%
Asteras Tripolis23%
Expected goals
1.89 – 1.20
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 2–19.8%
- 1–09.2%
- 2–08.0%
- 3–16.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Asteras Tripolis will have the ball; PAOK Thessaloniki will not mind.
43%Possession51%
38%Territory41%
4%From set plays19%
0.17Chance quality0.09
5.7%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PAOK Thessaloniki, 3 for Asteras Tripolis. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
PAOK Thessaloniki
Asteras Tripolis
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.