Super League 1 · Matchweek 9
Levadiakos
LEV
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Levadiakos42%
Draw27%
Aris Thessaloniki31%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.30
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–17.8%
- 1–27.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession45%
35%Territory34%
39%From set plays27%
0.09Chance quality0.08
7.6%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Levadiakos, 3 for Aris Thessaloniki. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Levadiakos
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Aris Thessaloniki
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.