Super League 1 · Matchweek 9
Kalamata
KAL
Iraklis
IRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kalamata45%
Draw27%
Iraklis29%
Expected goals
1.56 – 1.23
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–19.2%
- 0–17.7%
- 0–07.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession44%
38%Territory30%
36%From set plays48%
0.10Chance quality0.10
5.0%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kalamata, 3 for Iraklis. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Iraklis
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.