Super League 1 · Matchweek 9
Kalamata
KAL
Iraklis
IRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kalamata49%
Draw25%
Iraklis26%
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.23
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–07.5%
- 0–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
36%Possession40%
28%Territory30%
22%From set plays27%
0.13Chance quality0.08
6.3%Directness7.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kalamata, 2 for Iraklis. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 18 of 60 matches, not the full season.