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Super League 1 · Matchweek 9

Atromitos

ATR

NFC Volos

NFC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Atromitos46%
Draw27%
NFC Volos27%

Expected goals

1.51 – 1.13

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.3%
  • 1011.2%
  • 219.2%
  • 008.1%
  • 018.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

48%Possession50%
37%Territory38%
15%From set plays19%
0.09Chance quality0.08
4.7%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Atromitos, 3 for NFC Volos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.