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Super League 1 · Matchweek 8

Olympiacos

OLY

Kalamata

KAL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Olympiacos48%
Draw26%
Kalamata26%

Expected goals

1.61 – 1.14

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.8%
  • 1010.8%
  • 219.5%
  • 208.0%
  • 017.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Olympiacos will have the ball; Kalamata will not mind.

59%Possession48%
42%Territory38%
27%From set plays36%
0.10Chance quality0.10
6.8%Directness5.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Olympiacos, 3 for Kalamata. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.