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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Super League 1 · Matchweek 8

OFI Crete

OFI

PAOK Thessaloniki

PAO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

OFI Crete41%
Draw26%
PAOK Thessaloniki33%

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.36

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–08.9%
  • 2–18.8%
  • 0–17.8%
  • 1–27.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

OFI Crete get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

49%Possession43%
31%Territory38%
23%From set plays4%
0.12Chance quality0.17
6.0%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for OFI Crete, 3 for PAOK Thessaloniki. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.