Super League 1 · Matchweek 8
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
Atromitos
ATR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Aris Thessaloniki37%
Draw27%
Atromitos36%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.44
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–08.5%
- 0–18.4%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession48%
34%Territory37%
27%From set plays15%
0.08Chance quality0.09
6.3%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Aris Thessaloniki, 3 for Atromitos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Aris Thessaloniki
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.