Super League 1 · Matchweek 7
PAOK Thessaloniki
PAO
Iraklis
IRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
PAOK Thessaloniki49%
Draw25%
Iraklis26%
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.21
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–07.6%
- 0–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Iraklis get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
43%Possession44%
38%Territory30%
4%From set plays48%
0.17Chance quality0.10
5.7%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for PAOK Thessaloniki, 3 for Iraklis. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
PAOK Thessaloniki
Iraklis
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.