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Super League 1 · Matchweek 7

Panathinaikos

PAN

Asteras Tripolis

AST

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Panathinaikos62%
Draw22%
Asteras Tripolis17%

Expected goals

2.06 – 1.02

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-1.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1010.1%
  • 2110.0%
  • 209.7%
  • 119.7%
  • 316.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Panathinaikos will have the ball; Asteras Tripolis will not mind.

65%Possession51%
52%Territory41%
13%From set plays19%
0.11Chance quality0.09
4.5%Directness7.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Panathinaikos, 3 for Asteras Tripolis. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Asteras Tripolis

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.