Super League 1 · Matchweek 7
Kifisia FC
KIF
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kifisia FC47%
Draw26%
Aris Thessaloniki27%
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.23
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–09.8%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.3%
- 0–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession45%
37%Territory34%
14%From set plays27%
0.08Chance quality0.08
6.9%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Kifisia FC, 3 for Aris Thessaloniki. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Aris Thessaloniki
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.