Super League 1 · Matchweek 7
Kalamata
KAL
OFI Crete
OFI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kalamata41%
Draw27%
OFI Crete32%
Expected goals
1.47 – 1.30
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.3%
- 1–27.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession49%
38%Territory31%
36%From set plays23%
0.10Chance quality0.12
5.0%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kalamata, 3 for OFI Crete. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.