Super League 1 · Matchweek 6
Olympiacos
OLY
Panathinaikos
PAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Olympiacos36%
Draw28%
Panathinaikos36%
Expected goals
1.36 – 1.37
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–19.3%
- 1–09.2%
- 1–28.2%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
59%Possession65%
42%Territory52%
27%From set plays13%
0.10Chance quality0.11
6.8%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Olympiacos, 4 for Panathinaikos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Olympiacos
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.