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Super League 1 · Matchweek 6

Kifisia FC

KIF

Panetolikos

PAE

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Kifisia FC39%
Draw28%
Panetolikos34%

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.30

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.3%
  • 109.7%
  • 018.8%
  • 218.5%
  • 127.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

45%Possession39%
37%Territory38%
14%From set plays23%
0.08Chance quality0.10
6.9%Directness9.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Kifisia FC, 3 for Panetolikos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.