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Super League 1 · Matchweek 6

Iraklis

IRA

Levadiakos

LEV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Iraklis45%
Draw28%
Levadiakos27%

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.10

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.5%
  • 1011.8%
  • 219.1%
  • 008.8%
  • 018.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

44%Possession48%
30%Territory35%
48%From set plays39%
0.10Chance quality0.09
7.7%Directness7.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Iraklis, 3 for Levadiakos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Levadiakos

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.