Super League 1 · Matchweek 6
Asteras Tripolis
AST
Atromitos
ATR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Asteras Tripolis36%
Draw28%
Atromitos36%
Expected goals
1.35 – 1.34
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–09.5%
- 0–19.4%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession48%
41%Territory37%
19%From set plays15%
0.09Chance quality0.09
7.6%Directness4.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Asteras Tripolis, 3 for Atromitos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Asteras Tripolis
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.