Super League 1 · Matchweek 6
Aris Thessaloniki
ARI
NFC Volos
NFC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Aris Thessaloniki41%
Draw26%
NFC Volos33%
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.40
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 2–18.8%
- 1–08.5%
- 1–27.7%
- 0–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession50%
34%Territory38%
27%From set plays19%
0.08Chance quality0.08
6.3%Directness5.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Aris Thessaloniki, 3 for NFC Volos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Aris Thessaloniki
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.