Super League 1 · Matchweek 6
AEK Athens
AEK
OFI Crete
OFI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AEK Athens51%
Draw25%
OFI Crete24%
Expected goals
1.75 – 1.14
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.2%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.3%
- 0–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AEK Athens will have the ball; OFI Crete will not mind.
63%Possession49%
37%Territory31%
21%From set plays23%
0.12Chance quality0.12
4.7%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AEK Athens, 3 for OFI Crete. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.