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Super League 1 · Matchweek 5

NFC Volos

NFC

AEK Athens

AEK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

NFC Volos29%
Draw26%
AEK Athens45%

Expected goals

1.27 – 1.62

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.6%
  • 019.5%
  • 129.2%
  • 107.3%
  • 217.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

AEK Athens will have the ball; NFC Volos will not mind.

50%Possession63%
38%Territory37%
19%From set plays21%
0.08Chance quality0.12
5.6%Directness4.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for NFC Volos, 3 for AEK Athens. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.