Super League 1 · Matchweek 5
OFI Crete
OFI
Asteras Tripolis
AST
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
OFI Crete50%
Draw26%
Asteras Tripolis24%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.12
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–010.8%
- 2–19.6%
- 2–08.2%
- 0–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
49%Possession51%
31%Territory41%
23%From set plays19%
0.12Chance quality0.09
6.0%Directness7.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for OFI Crete, 3 for Asteras Tripolis. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
OFI Crete
Asteras Tripolis
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.