Super League 1 · Matchweek 5
Kalamata
KAL
Panathinaikos
PAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Kalamata31%
Draw26%
Panathinaikos43%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.60
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–29.0%
- 0–18.9%
- 2–17.4%
- 1–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Panathinaikos will have the ball; Kalamata will not mind.
48%Possession65%
38%Territory52%
36%From set plays13%
0.10Chance quality0.11
5.0%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Kalamata, 4 for Panathinaikos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.