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Super League 1 · Matchweek 5

Atromitos

ATR

Kifisia FC

KIF

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Atromitos43%
Draw28%
Kifisia FC29%

Expected goals

1.41 – 1.12

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

52%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.7%
  • 1011.6%
  • 009.1%
  • 019.0%
  • 218.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

48%Possession45%
37%Territory37%
15%From set plays14%
0.09Chance quality0.08
4.7%Directness6.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Atromitos, 4 for Kifisia FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 21 of 28 matches, not the full season.